Total Stopping Distance Refers To

Key Findings

California voters have now received their mail ballots, and the November eight full general election has entered its last stage. Amidst ascent prices and economic uncertainty—likewise every bit deep partisan divisions over social and political issues—Californians are processing a great deal of information to help them choose state constitutional officers and state legislators and to make policy decisions about state propositions. The 2022 midterm election also features a closely divided Congress, with the likelihood that a few races in California may decide which party controls the U.s.a. House.

These are among the key findings of a statewide survey on country and national problems conducted from October 14 to 23 past the Public Policy Institute of California:

Many Californians have negative perceptions of their personal finances and the The states economy. Seventy-half-dozen percent rate the nation's economic system as "not and so good" or "poor." Thirty-nine percent say their finances are "worse off" today than a twelvemonth ago. Xl-vii percent say that things in California are going in the correct direction, while 33 percent think things in the United states of america are going in the right direction; partisans differ in their overall outlook.→
Among likely voters, 55 percent would vote for Gavin Newsom and 36 pct would vote for Brian Dahle if the governor's election were today. Partisans are deeply divided in their choices. Sixty pct are very or fairly closely following news most the governor's race. 60-two percentage are satisfied with the candidate choices in the governor's election.→
When likely voters are read the ballot championship and labels, 34 pct would vote yes on Suggestion 26 (sports betting at tribal casinos), 26 percent would vote yeah on Proposition 27 (online sports gambling), and 41 percent would vote yeah on Proposition 30 (reducing greenhouse gases). Most likely voters say they are non personally interested in sports betting, and 48 percent think information technology would be a "bad thing" if it became legal in the state. Fewer than half of likely voters say the vote effect of Propositions 26, 27, or xxx is very important to them.→
50-vi percentage of likely voters would support the Democratic candidate in their US Firm race if the election were today. Sixty-1 percent say the issue of abortion rights is very important in their vote for Congress this yr; Democrats are far more than likely than Republicans or independents to hold this view. About half are "extremely" or "very" enthusiastic about voting for Congress this year; 54 pct of Republicans and Democrats, and 41 percentage of independents, are highly enthusiastic this yr.→
40-five percent of Californians and 40 percent of likely voters are satisfied with the style that democracy is working in the United States. Republicans are far less probable than Democrats and independents to hold this positive view. In that location is rare partisan consensus on 1 topic: majorities of Democrats, Republicans, and independents are pessimistic that Americans with different political views tin can still come together and work out their differences.→
Majorities of California adults and probable voters approve of Governor Gavin Newsom and President Joe Biden. Well-nigh four in ten or more California adults and likely voters approve of US Senator Dianne Feinstein and United states Senator Alex Padilla. These approval ratings vary across partisan groups. Approval of the state legislature is higher than approval of the US Congress.→

Overall Mood

With less than two weeks to go until what is set to be a highly consequential midterm ballot, California adults are divided on whether the country is generally headed in the correct direction (47%) or wrong direction (48%); a majority of likely voters (54%) think the state is headed in the wrong management (43% correct management). Similar shares held this view last calendar month (incorrect management: 44% adults, 49% probable voters; right direction: 50% adults, 48% likely voters). Today, in that location is a wide partisan dissever: seven in ten Democrats are optimistic about the direction of the state, while 91 percent of Republicans and 59 percent of independents are pessimistic. Majorities of residents in the Cardinal Valley and Orange/San Diego say the land is going in the incorrect direction, while a majority in the San Francisco Bay Area say right direction; adults elsewhere are divided. Across demographic groups, Californians ages 18 to 34 (60%), Asian Americans (52%), college graduates (52%), renters (52%), and women (52%) are the only groups in which a majority are optimistic about California's direction.

figure - Half or fewer Californians have said the state is going in the right direction throughout 2022

Californians are much more pessimistic about the management of the country than they are nigh the management of the land. Solid majorities of adults (62%) and probable voters (71%) say the Usa is going in the wrong direction, and majorities have held this view since September 2021. One in three or fewer adults (33%) and probable voters (25%) think the state is going in the right direction. Majorities across all demographic groups and partisan groups, as well every bit across regions, are pessimistic about the management of the Usa.

figure - The share of adults who say the United States is going in the right direction has been trending downward since mid-2021

The land of the economy and aggrandizement are likely to play a disquisitional function in the upcoming election, and about four in 10 adults (39%) and probable voters (43%) say they and their family are worse off financially than they were a year ago. Like shares say they are financially in about the same spot (43% adults, 44% likely voters). The share who feel they are worse off has risen slightly among likely voters since May, but is similar among adults (37% adults, 36% likely voters). Fewer than 2 in x Californians say they are amend off than they were one year ago (17% adults, 13% likely voters). A wide partisan carve up exists: most Democrats and independents say their financial state of affairs is about the same equally a year ago, while solid majorities of Republicans say they are worse off. Regionally, about half in the San Francisco Bay Expanse and Los Angeles say they are nigh the same, while half in the Central Valley say they are worse off; residents elsewhere are divided betwixt existence worse off and the same. Across demographic groups, pluralities say they are either financially virtually the same as last year or worse off, with the exception of African Americans (51% about the same, 33% worse off, xvi% better off) and Asian Americans (51% nigh the same, 27% worse off, xx% improve off). The shares maxim they are worse off decline as educational attainment increases.

With persistent aggrandizement and concerns about a possible recession in the future, an overwhelming majority of Californians believe the US economy is in not so skilful (43% adults, xl% likely voters) or poor (33% adults, 36% likely voters) shape. Virtually a quarter of adults (iii% excellent, xx% good) and probable voters (2% first-class, 23% proficient) feel positively about the national economic system. Potent majorities across partisan groups experience negatively, but Republicans and independents are much more than likely than Democrats to say the economy is in poor shape. Solid majorities beyond the state's major regions as well equally all demographic groups say the economy is in not so good or poor shape. In a contempo ABC News/Washington Post poll, 24 pct (3% first-class, 21% skilful) of adults nationwide felt positively about the Us economy, while 74 per centum (36% not so adept, 38% poor) expressed negative views.

Gubernatorial Election

Six in ten likely voters say they are following news most the 2022 governor's race very (25%) or adequately (35%) closely—a share that has risen from half just a month agone (17% very, 33% adequately). This finding is somewhat similar to October 2018, when 68 percent said this (28% very, 40% closely) a month before the previous gubernatorial election. Today, majorities across partisan, demographic, and regional groups say they are post-obit news about the gubernatorial ballot either very or fairly closely. The shares saying they are following the news very closely is highest among residents in Republican districts (39%), Republicans (30%), whites (29%), and adults with incomes of $40,000 to $79,999 (29%). Older likely voters (27%) are slightly more probable than younger likely voters (21%) to say they are following the news closely.

figure - Six in ten likely voters are following news about candidates for the 2022 governor's election at least fairly closely

Democratic incumbent Gavin Newsom is ahead of Republican Brian Dahle (55% to 36%) amidst likely voters, while few say they would not vote, would vote for neither, or don't know who they would vote for in the governor's race. The share supporting the reelection of the governor was similar a month ago (58% Newsom, 31% Dahle). Today, Newsom enjoys the support of most Democrats (91%), while about Republicans (86%) support Dahle; Newsom has an border over Dahle amid independent likely voters (47% Newsom, 37% Dahle). Across the state's regions, two in three in the San Francisco Bay Area and Los Angeles support Newsom, every bit do nearly one-half in the Inland Empire and Orange/San Diego; likely voters in the Central Valley are split. Newsom leads in all demographic groups, with the exception of men (45% Newsom, 44% Dahle) and those with a high school diploma only (46% Newsom, 49% Dahle). The share supporting Newsom grows every bit educational attainment increases (46% high school only, 56% some higher, 60% higher graduates), while it decreases with rising income (64% less than $40,000, 56% $40,000 to $79,999, 52% $80,000 or more).

figure - A majority of likely voters would vote to reelect Gavin Newsom if the election were held today

A solid majority of likely voters (62%) are satisfied with their choices of candidates in the November 8 ballot, while about three in ten (32%) are not satisfied. Shares expressing satisfaction have increased somewhat from a calendar month ago (53%) and were similar prior to the 2018 gubernatorial election (60% October 2018). Today, a solid bulk of Democrats (79%) and independents (61%) say they are satisfied, compared to fewer than half of Republicans (44%). Majorities across demographic groups say they are satisfied, and notably, women (68%) are more likely than men (56%) to say this. Majorities across the state'southward regions say they are satisfied with their choices of candidates in the upcoming gubernatorial election.

State Propositions 26, 27, and 30

In the upcoming November 8 election, there will be seven land propositions for voters. Due to time constraints, our survey merely asked most iii election measures: Propositions 26, 27, and 30. For each, nosotros read the proposition number, ballot, and ballot label. 2 of the state ballot measures were as well included in the September survey (Propositions 27 and 30), while Proffer 26 was not.

If the election were held today, 34 percentage of likely voters would vote "yes," 57 per centum would vote "no," and nine percent are unsure of how they would vote on Proffer 26—Allows In-Person Roulette, Dice, Game, Sports Wagering on Tribal Lands. This measure would let in-person sports betting at racetracks and tribal casinos, requiring that racetracks and casinos offering sports betting make certain payments to the state to support state regulatory costs. Information technology also allows roulette and dice games at tribal casinos and adds a new style to enforce sure state gambling laws. There is partisan agreement on Prop 26: fewer than four in ten Democrats, Republicans, and independents would vote "yep." Moreover, less than a majority beyond all regions and demographic groups—with the exception of probable voters ages eighteen to 44 (51% yes, 44% no)—would vote "yes."

If the election were held today, 26 percent of probable voters would vote "yes," 67 pct would vote "no," and 8 percentage are unsure of how they would vote on Proposition 27—Allows Online and Mobile Sports Wagering Exterior Tribal Lands. This citizens' initiative would allow Indian tribes and affiliated businesses to operate online and mobile sports wagering outside tribal lands. Strong majorities across partisan groups would vote "no" on Prop 27. The share voting "yep" has decreased since a month ago (34% September). Today, fewer than three in x across partisan groups would vote "aye" on Prop 27. Moreover, fewer than four in ten across regions, gender, racial/ethnic, education, and income groups would vote "yes." Likely voters ages eighteen to 44 (41%) are far more than likely than older likely voters ages 45 and to a higher place (19%) to say they would vote "yep."

If the election were held today, 41 percent of likely voters would vote "aye," 52 percent would vote "no," and 7 percent are unsure of how they would vote on Proposition thirty—Provides Funding for Programs to Reduce Air Pollution and Prevent Wildfires by Increasing Revenue enhancement on Personal Income over $two Million. This citizens' initiative would increment taxes on Californians earning more than than $2 million annually and allocate that tax revenue to zero-emission vehicle purchase incentives, vehicle charging stations, and wildfire prevention. The share saying "yes" on Prop 30 has decreased from 55 percentage in our September survey (notation: since September, Governor Newsom has been featured in "no on Prop 30" commercials). Today, unlike Prop 26 and Prop 27, partisan opinions are divided on Prop 30: 61 percent of Democrats would vote "yes," compared to far fewer Republicans (xv%) and independents (38%). Beyond regions, and amid men and women, back up falls short of a majority (36% men, 45% women). Fewer than half across racial/ethnic groups say they would vote "yes" (39% whites, 42% Latinos, 46% other racial/ethnic groups). Just over half of likely voters with incomes under $40,000 (52%) would vote "aye," compared to fewer in higher-income groups (42% $xl,000 to $79,999, 36% $80,000 or more than). Nearly half of likely voters ages 18 to 44 (49%) would vote "yes," compared to 37 percent of older probable voters.

figure - Overall support for Prop 26, 27, and 30 falls short of a majority, with partisans divided

Fewer than half of likely voters say the outcome of each of these country propositions is very important to them. Today, 21 per centum of likely voters say the outcome of Prop 26 is very of import, 31 percent say the consequence of Prop 27 is very important, and 42 percent say the outcome of Prop xxx is very important. The shares maxim the outcomes are very important to them have remained similar to a month ago for Prop 27 (29%) and Prop 30 (42%). Today, when information technology comes to the importance of the upshot of Prop 26, 1 in four or fewer across partisan groups say it is very important to them. About one in iii beyond partisan groups say the outcome of Prop 27 is very important to them. Fewer than half across partisan groups say the outcome of Prop thirty is very important to them.

figure - The share of likely voters who say the outcome of the vote is very important differs by proposition

Congressional Elections

When asked how they would vote if the 2022 ballot for the US Firm of Representatives were held today, 56 per centum of likely voters say they would vote for or lean toward the Democratic candidate, while 39 percentage would vote for or lean toward the Republican candidate. In September, a similar share of likely voters preferred the Democratic candidate (threescore% Democrat/lean Democrat, 34% Republican/lean Republican). Today, overwhelming majorities of partisans support their political party'south candidate, while independents are divided (50% Democrat/lean Democrat, 44% Republican/lean Republican). Democratic candidates are preferred past a 26-point margin in Democratic-held districts, while Republican candidates are preferred past a 23-bespeak margin in Republican-held districts. In the 10 competitive California districts every bit defined by the Melt Political Written report, the Democratic candidate is preferred by a 22-point margin (54% to 32%).

figure - A majority of likely voters would vote for the Democratic candidate in their district if the election for Congress were held today

Abortion is some other prominent issue in this election. When asked well-nigh the importance of abortion rights, 61 percent of likely voters say the upshot is very of import in determining their vote for Congress and another 20 percent say it is somewhat important; but 17 percent say it is non too or not at all important. Among partisans, an overwhelming majority of Democrats (78%) and 55 percent of independents say it is very of import, compared to 43 percent of Republicans. Majorities across regions and all demographic groups—with the exception of men (49% very important)—say ballgame rights are very important when making their option among candidates for Congress.

figure - A solid majority of likely voters say the issue of abortion rights is very important in their vote for Congress this year

With the controlling party in Congress hanging in the balance, 51 percent of likely voters say they are extremely or very enthusiastic about voting for Congress this twelvemonth; another 29 pct are somewhat enthusiastic while 19 pct are either not also or not at all enthusiastic. In October 2018 before the concluding midterm election, a like 53 percent of probable voters were extremely or very enthusiastic about voting for Congress (25% extremely, 28% very, 28% somewhat, 10% not too, 8% not at all). Today, Democrats and Republicans have about equal levels of enthusiasm, while independents are much less probable to be extremely or very enthusiastic. Half or more than across regions are at least very enthusiastic, with the exceptions of likely voters in Los Angeles (44%) and the San Francisco Bay Area (43%). At to the lowest degree half across demographic groups are highly enthusiastic, with the exceptions of probable voters earning $xl,000 to $79,999 annually (48%), women (47%), Latinos (43%), those with a high school diploma or less (42%), renters (42%), and 18- to 44-yr-olds (37%).

Democracy and the Political Divide

As Californians prepare to vote in the upcoming midterm election, fewer than half of adults and probable voters are satisfied with the way democracy is working in the United states of america—and few are very satisfied. Satisfaction was higher in our February survey when 53 percentage of adults and 48 percent of likely voters were satisfied with democracy in America. Today, one-half of Democrats and about four in ten independents are satisfied, compared to about ane in five Republicans. Notably, four in ten Republicans are not at all satisfied. Across regions, half of residents in the San Francisco Bay Area (52%) and the Inland Empire (fifty%) are satisfied, compared to fewer elsewhere. Across demographic groups, fewer than half are satisfied, with the exception of Latinos (56%), those with a high schoolhouse degree or less (55%), and those making less than $40,000 (53%).

figure - Fewer than half of Californians are satisfied with the way democracy is working in the United States

In add-on to the lack of satisfaction with the way democracy is working, Californians are divided about whether Americans of different political positions can still come together and work out their differences. Forty-nine percent are optimistic, while 46 percent are pessimistic. Optimism has been similar in more contempo years, just has decreased vii points since we first asked this question in September 2017 (56%). In September 2020, just before the 2020 general election, Californians were besides divided (47% optimistic, 49% pessimistic).

Today, in a rare moment of bipartisan understanding, nearly iv in ten Democrats, Republicans, and independents are optimistic that Americans of dissimilar political views will be able to come together. Across regions, about one-half in Orange/San Diego, the Inland Empire, and the San Francisco Bay Area are optimistic. Beyond demographic groups, only the following groups accept a bulk or more who are optimistic: African Americans and Latinos (61% each), those with a high school diploma or less (63%), and those with household incomes under $twoscore,000 (61%). Notably, in 2017, half or more beyond parties, regions, and demographic groups were optimistic.

figure - Californians are pessimistic that Americans with different political views can still come together and work out differences

Blessing Ratings

With about two weeks to go before Governor Newsom's bid for reelection, a majority of Californians (54%) and probable voters (52%) approve of the way he is handling his job, while fewer disapprove (33% adults, 45% likely voters). Approval was nearly identical in September (52% adults, 55% likely voters) and has been 50 percent or more since January 2020. Today, about eight in ten Democrats—compared to about half of independents and nigh one in 10 Republicans—corroborate of Governor Newsom. Half or more across regions approve of Newsom, except in the Central Valley (42%). Across demographic groups, most half or more approve of how Governor Newsom is handling his job.

With all fourscore land assembly positions and half of land senate seats upward for election, fewer than half of adults (49%) and likely voters (43%) approve of the mode that the California Legislature is handling its job. Views are deeply divided along partisan lines; approval is highest in the San Francisco Bay Area and lowest in Orange/San Diego. About one-half across racial/ethnic groups approve, and blessing is much higher among younger Californians.

figure - About half approve of the governor and state legislature

Majorities of California adults (53%) and probable voters (52%) approve of the way President Biden is handling his job, while fewer disapprove (43% adults, 47% probable voters). Approving is similar to September (53% adults and probable voters), and Biden's approval rating amid adults has been at l percent or higher since we first asked this question in January 2021. Today, nigh eight in x Democrats corroborate of Biden's job performance, compared to about four in ten independents and one in ten Republicans. Approval is higher in the San Francisco Bay Expanse and Los Angeles than in the Inland Empire, Orange/San Diego, and the Central Valley. About half or more than across demographic groups corroborate of President Biden, with the exception of those with some college education (44%).

Approving of Congress remains depression, with fewer than four in ten adults (37%) and probable voters (29%) approving. Blessing of Congress among adults has been below 40 percent for all of 2022 after seeing a cursory run above forty per centum for all of 2021. Democrats are far more likely than Republicans to approve of Congress. Fewer than half across regions and demographic groups approve of Congress.

figure - About half continue to approve of President Biden; approval of Congress remains low

US Senator Alex Padilla is on the California election twice this Nov—once for the remainder of Vice President Harris's term and once for reelection. Senator Padilla has the approval of 46 percent of adults and 48 percent of likely voters (adults: 26% disapprove, 29% don't know; likely voters: 31% disapprove, 22% don't know). Approval in March was at 44 per centum for adults and 39 per centum for likely voters. Today, Padilla's approval rating is much higher among Democrats than independents and Republicans. Across regions, nigh half in the San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles, and the Inland Empire approve of the United states of america senator, compared to four in ten in Orangish/San Diego and ane in three in the Central Valley. Across demographic groups, almost one-half or more than approve among women, younger adults, African Americans, Asian Americans, and Latinos. Views are similar across teaching and income groups, with just fewer than half approving.

US Senator Dianne Feinstein—who is not on the California ballot this November—has the approval of 41 percentage of adults and likely voters (adults: 42% disapprove, 17% don't know; likely voters: 52% disapprove, 7% don't know). Approving in March was at 41 percentage for adults and 36 percent for likely voters. Today, Feinstein's approval rating is far higher among Democrats and independents than Republicans. Beyond regions, approval reaches a majority but in the San Francisco Bay Area. Across demographic groups, approving reaches a majority only amidst African Americans